HBAR ETF Application Sparks Wave: Analysis of Institutional Layout and Price Outlook

Recently, with several top investment institutions submitting HBAR Spot ETF applications to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Hedera's native Token HBAR is gaining unprecedented market follow.

These applications include well-known institutions such as Grayscale and Canary Capital, and even BlackRock is rumored to possibly follow suit. If approved, HBAR could see a large influx of institutional funds and price appreciation.

ETF Competition Starts

Canary Capital took the lead and formally submitted the first HBAR Spot ETF application to the SEC. Subsequently, the Nasdaq Stock Exchange also submitted a 19b-4 form to the SEC to apply for the listing and trading of the ETF.

Global asset management giants like BlackRock and Grayscale, along with other institutions, have submitted ETF filings related to HBAR. This series of actions has brought unprecedented expectations to the market, leading to significant fluctuations in HBAR's price.

Market Performance and Analysis

As of August 25, 2025, according to Gate platform data, the trading price of HBAR fluctuates around the range of $0.24 - $0.26. Over the past month, HBAR's price has performed strongly, with an increase of 62.24%, demonstrating significant bullish momentum.

Current technical level

Support level: $0.22 level constitutes a key support area for HBAR, which coincides with the lower Bollinger Band, forming the technical basis defended by the current bull market.

Resistance level: The $0.28 - $0.30 range is the main resistance area for HBAR, and breaking through this level may open up further upside potential.

Technical Indicator Analysis

From a technical analysis perspective, multiple indicators for HBAR show bullish signals: the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is around the neutral zone of 51, indicating room for further movement in either direction; the MACD indicator has formed a bullish crossover, confirming upward momentum.

The correlation between HBAR and Bitcoin has reached a significant level of 0.85, indicating a strong market consistency between the two assets. This high correlation means that HBAR typically follows Bitcoin's price fluctuations in a fairly consistent manner.

Institutional Interest Grows

The attention HBAR attracts from institutions is no coincidence. The global payment network SWIFT has launched a real-time blockchain trial featuring Hedera, demonstrating traditional financial infrastructure's recognition of Hedera technology.

The development of institutions is also enhancing market sentiment. Grayscale has applied for a trust for HBAR in Delaware, a move that is seen by some as laying the groundwork for future ETFs.

As central banks and financial institutions accelerate testing of tokenized settlement systems, Hedera's positioning in global payments is attracting more and more attention from institutions.

Market Volatility and Risk

The market volatility of HBAR is worth following. The 30-day average volatility is 4.2%, indicating that investors need to deal with significant price fluctuations.

The Balance of Power (BoP) indicator is negative (-0.09), indicating increased control by sellers; the long-short ratio is 0.98, showing that the number of short positions exceeds that of long positions, which brings a degree of uncertainty to the short-term price trend.

If the downward trend continues, the price of HBAR may drop to $0.169. On the other hand, a surge in demand could reverse this trend and push HBAR up to $0.247.

Future Outlook

Analysts have a wide range of price predictions for HBAR in 2025, with potential targets between $0.32 and $1.50. These predictions largely depend on whether the ETF applications are approved and the overall market conditions.

If HBAR can maintain above the current support level, it may drive the price to the range of $0.28 - $0.30. Some analysts even believe that with the approval of the ETF, the launch of Coinbase futures, and new capital inflows, HBAR is expected to rise to $0.60 or even $2.25.

Factors for Investor Consideration

For investors considering investing in HBAR, it is important to closely follow the following factors: the progress of ETF approvals and the SEC's decisions on multiple HBAR ETF applications are expected to be announced around October 2025.

Overall market sentiment, with the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates below 2%, the market increasingly expects rate cuts, which could provide short-term momentum for cryptocurrencies.

If the technical breakthrough can maintain above $0.25, it may trigger more upside potential, while breaking below the $0.22 support may lead to a retest of lower levels.

Future Outlook

As the ETF approval window in October approaches, HBAR is at a critical juncture to become a mainstream crypto asset. The growth in institutional demand combined with signs of technical breakthroughs creates potential investment opportunities.

Despite the ongoing regulatory uncertainty, the practical use cases of HBAR in the distributed ledger technology field (such as its collaboration with SWIFT) provide solid support for its long-term value. Market participants are closely following the upcoming developments.